Relationships
JADE ANALYSISEvery relationship is a first-class object: source, target, geography, season, lag, strength through time, drift, skill, confidence, and evidence.
ENSO / ONI → Townsville wet-season rainfall
JADE ANALYSIS- Historical
- Moderate
- Recent
- Moderate
- Historical r
- -0.24
- Recent r
- -0.21
- Direction
- NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE DETECTED
- Confidence
- High
- Structural break
- Not established
Li Index Λ
0.73Strongly coherent
S
0.45
P
0.94
K
0.72
E
0.95
SOI → Townsville wet-season rainfall
JADE ANALYSIS- Historical
- Moderate
- Recent
- Moderate
- Historical r
- +0.37
- Recent r
- +0.33
- Direction
- NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE DETECTED
- Confidence
- High
- Structural break
- Not established
Li Index Λ
0.84Strongly coherent
S
0.65
P
0.93
K
0.86
E
0.95
IOD → Townsville wet-season rainfall
JADE ANALYSIS- Historical
- Weak
- Recent
- Weak
- Historical r
- -0.11
- Recent r
- -0.18
- Direction
- NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE DETECTED
- Confidence
- Medium
- Structural break
- Not established
Li Index Λ
0.40Partial coherence
S
0.07
P
0.84
K
0.60
E
0.70
Forecast Tmax → Terrey Hills Tmax
JADE ANALYSIS- Historical
- —
- Recent
- MAE 0.7438 °C
- Historical r
- —
- Recent r
- —
- Direction
- NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE DETECTED
- Confidence
- Medium
- Structural break
- Not established
Li Index Λ
0.78Strongly coherent
S
0.70
P
0.75
K
0.70
E
1.00
Forecast rain probability → rain occurrence
JADE ANALYSIS- Historical
- —
- Recent
- Brier 0.1875
- Historical r
- —
- Recent r
- —
- Direction
- NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE DETECTED
- Confidence
- Medium
- Structural break
- Not established
Li Index Λ
0.47Coherent
S
0.25
P
0.75
K
0.25
E
1.00