Townsville
A tropical investigation, not a predetermined story. Three studies: persistence, ENSO/SOI drift, and a labelled rainfall-provenance hypothesis.
Wet-season totals, Townsville Aero. Latest 2025/26: 1,566.6 mm.
TSV-001JADE ANALYSIS
Wet/Dry Pattern Persistence
Does Townsville show statistically meaningful recurring wet/dry regimes, and if so, have their characteristics changed?
EXPLORATORY SIGNAL
TSV-002JADE ANALYSIS
ENSO/SOI Relationship Drift
Has the predictive relationship between ENSO/SOI and Townsville rainfall changed through time?
VALIDATED RELATIONSHIP
TSV-003HYPOTHESIS
Rainfall Provenance Drift
Has the synoptic pathway associated with major Townsville rainfall events changed?
HYPOTHESIS / RESEARCH