Northern Beaches

A temperate coastal configuration used to show that a forecast itself can become a relationship object.

Forecast → observation

Open-Meteo archived forecasts compared with Terrey Hills AWS (BOM 066059), the Bureau automatic weather station for this district. Not an official BOM forecast archive.

Tmax MAE
0.7438 °C · n=1675
Rain Brier
0.1875
Low-p then rain
51/310

What is not inferred

  • Isolated forecast misses are not evidence that forecasting has degraded.
  • Skill-through-time: no significant change detected.
  • Afternoon timing: INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
Full reliability module →